Dear Tribe,
In Quant X Club, we don’t just build strategies.
We refine them.
Stress-test them.
Upgrade them.
And today, we’re sharing the upgraded version of one of our most talked-about setups:
✈️ The F-16 Strategy — Upgraded for 2025
At its core, the F-16 remains what it always was:
A market-neutral 0DTE strategy that uses
probabilities, statistics, and defined risk
to capture premium without guessing direction.
But there’s one critical upgrade — a rule that separates
long-term winners from short-term casualties.
We’ll get there in a moment.
Over thousands of trading days, the S&P 500 has shown a remarkably consistent pattern:
Upper intraday boundary: ~+0.6%
Lower intraday boundary: ~–1.0%
So instead of predicting “up or down,”
we simply sell premium outside those boundaries.
If price stays inside:
✔ We keep the premium.
✔ Both sides expire worthless.
✔ Controlled, market-neutral win.
If price breaks out:
❌ Our loss is capped by the wings we buy.
No guessing.
No emotional decisions.
Just mathematics and probability.
Instrument: SPX 0-Day-to-Expiry
Structure: Defined-risk Iron Condor
Objective: Capture daily volatility safely
Edge: High probability + statistical range
🛑 But here’s the truth:
0DTE gives you many small wins…
and occasionally, a very big loss.
And one type of day consistently causes the biggest losses for traders (not just ours):
🟥 News days.
Where volatility is scheduled.
Where markets react emotionally.
Where the “usual 0.6% / –1% range” can break instantly.
Where whipsaws ignore statistics and punish everyone equally.
This is why many traders blow up:
They trade on days that should never have been traded.
If there is major USD news, we do not trade.
Not maybe.
Not “small size”.
Not “just one time”.
👉 No trade is ALWAYS better than a bad trade.
👉 A trader must learn how to keep the winnings — not just chase them.
👉 The long game matters.
This is the critical rule we’ve added to the F-16 upgrade.
Because on news days, the expected move is no longer predictable.
We have zero interest in “proving we are right.”
We’re here to stay in the game and compound, not show off.
Here’s the simple protocol:
1️⃣ Go to ForexFactory.com
2️⃣ Filter for USD only
3️⃣ Look for red-label high-impact events
4️⃣ If any appear during the trading day:
→ F-16 stands down.
Examples include:
FOMC
NFP
CPI
Powell’s speeches
Major political events (e.g., Trump speaking)
Unexpected press conferences
Geopolitical announcements
On these days, even the best statistics can’t protect you.
Our rule:
If the sky is unstable, the F-16 stays grounded.
The difference between a gambler and a quant is simple:
A gambler tries to trade every day.
A quant knows when not to trade.
This upgrade ensures:
smaller drawdowns
more stable equity curves
fewer emotional spirals
better long-term compounding
stronger discipline muscle
survival through volatility regimes
You don’t win the game by trading more.
You win the game by preserving your edge.
🎓 Want to learn how to build strategies that evolve with the market?
Join our free 1.5-hour Quant Accelerator Masterclass, where we break down:
✔ The 3 strategies refined over 20 years
✔ How we extract real edge from the market
✔ Why most traders lose even with good strategies
✔ How to structure rules so emotion can’t interfere
If you're tired of trading on gut feel —
and ready to operate with clarity, discipline, and precision —
this is where your next upgrade begins.
To your growth,
Quant X Team - Where Data Becomes Alpha
Editor: Dareen Tan
Disclaimer:
The views shared here are for educational purposes only and reflect our team’s opinions. They should not be taken as financial, investment, or legal advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any financial decisions.
